BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Northern Illinois
Class: 1A Class Rank: 116 Overall: (0-3) Overall Strength = 133.47
Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (0-0) | District: 1A-01 Record: (0-2)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 09-05-2026 Away L * 129.06 0 40 1A 30 (3-0) Iowa -2.94 * -22.21 -37.06
2 09-12-2026 Home L 139.93 24 28 1B 2 (4-0) Illinois St 7.92 -30.32 -11.92
3 09-19-2026 Away L * 127.02 17 42 1A 75 (2-1) Arizona -4.98 -17.07 -20.02
4 09/26/2026 Away * 1A 51 (2-1) Georgia St -27.98
5 10/10/2026 Home * * 1A 102 (1-1) Air Force -1.53
6 10/17/2026 Away * * 1A 135 (1-2) Wyoming 8.79
7 10/24/2026 Home * * 1A 128 (1-2) Hawaii 9.40
8 10/31/2026 Away * * 1A 121 (1-2) UNLV 1.46
9 11/07/2026 Away * * 1A 131 (2-2) San Jose St 5.11
10 11/14/2026 Home * * 1A 129 (1-2) Nevada 10.37
11 11/21/2026 Away * * 1A 69 (4-0) North Dakota St -21.43
12 11/28/2026 Home * * 1A 122 (1-2) UTEP 7.90
Averages 132.00 13.7 36.7
Best game: 139.93 = 4 point loss to Illinois St
Worst game: 127.02 = 25 point loss to Arizona
Team stdev: 6.94