BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Northern Illinois

Class: 1A Class Rank: 133 Overall: (0-6) Overall Strength =  126.61
Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (0-2) | District: 1A-01 Record: (0-5)
                                                                                       pre-game current
 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent               Resid M Predict Predict
 1 09-05-2026 Away    L   * 129.92   0  40   1A  34 (5-1) Iowa                    0.44 *  -22.21  -40.44                      
 2 09-12-2026 Home    L     133.49  24  28   1B   5 (5-2) Illinois St             4.02    -30.32   -8.02                      
 3 09-19-2026 Away    L   * 140.51  17  42   1A  23 (5-1) Arizona                11.03 *  -17.07  -36.03                      
 4 09-26-2026 Away    L   * 133.29  14  35   1A  65 (4-2) Georgia St              3.82    -22.70  -24.82                      
 5 10-10-2026 Home    L * * 122.29   7  28   1A  80 (5-1) Air Force              -7.19     -4.10  -13.81                      
 6 10-17-2026 Away    L * * 117.35  23  41   1A 125 (4-3) Wyoming               -12.12     -4.06   -5.88                      
 7 10/24/2026 Home      * *                  1A 126 (1-6) Hawaii                                   -3.52            
 8 10/31/2026 Away      * *                  1A  87 (4-3) UNLV                                    -21.59            
 9 11/07/2026 Away      * *                  1A 122 (4-3) San Jose St                              -9.46            
10 11/14/2026 Home      * *                  1A 102 (2-4) Nevada                                  -10.69            
11 11/21/2026 Away      * *                  1A  55 (6-1) North Dakota St                         -30.18            
12 11/28/2026 Home      * *                  1A 137 (1-6) UTEP                                      8.84            
      Averages             129.48  14.2 35.7

Best game:  140.51 = 25 point loss to Arizona
Worst game: 117.35 = 18 point loss to Wyoming
Team stdev:   8.38